UST998008I4 - Computer system and method for decision tree analysis - Google Patents

Computer system and method for decision tree analysis Download PDF

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Publication number
UST998008I4
UST998008I4 US05/955,823 US95582378A UST998008I4 US T998008 I4 UST998008 I4 US T998008I4 US 95582378 A US95582378 A US 95582378A US T998008 I4 UST998008 I4 US T998008I4
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United States
Prior art keywords
decision
path
display
expectation
computer
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Pending
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US05/955,823
Inventor
Ralph B. DeLano, Jr.
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International Business Machines Corp
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International Business Machines Corp
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Publication date
Application filed by International Business Machines Corp filed Critical International Business Machines Corp
Priority to US05/955,823 priority Critical patent/UST998008I4/en
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Publication of UST998008I4 publication Critical patent/UST998008I4/en
Pending legal-status Critical Current

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    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G—PHYSICS
    • G06—COMPUTING; CALCULATING OR COUNTING
    • G06Q—INFORMATION AND COMMUNICATION TECHNOLOGY [ICT] SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES; SYSTEMS OR METHODS SPECIALLY ADAPTED FOR ADMINISTRATIVE, COMMERCIAL, FINANCIAL, MANAGERIAL OR SUPERVISORY PURPOSES, NOT OTHERWISE PROVIDED FOR
    • G06Q10/00—Administration; Management
    • G06Q10/06—Resources, workflows, human or project management; Enterprise or organisation planning; Enterprise or organisation modelling
    • G06Q10/063—Operations research, analysis or management

Abstract

A tool to aid decision-makers in making non-programmed decisions in an uncertain environment. A small computer having graphic display capabilities is combined with a program which provides the means for operating the computer directly by the decision-maker. Problems are stated in decision-tree format with the decision-maker providing probabilities for chance events, terminal values and points on his preference curve. The computer makes choices at decision nodes on the basis of maximization of expected value or utility and displays both the expectation of the project and the decision path. Automated sensitivity analysis is provided to determine those probabilities lying on the decision path which are most sensitive in changing either that path or the expectation. In addition, the effects of varying the probability of any selected branch may be determined. Instructions appear on the display and the user's response is by selecting a program alternate with the light pen or typing a numeral. All results are given on the display.
US05/955,823 1978-10-30 1978-10-30 Computer system and method for decision tree analysis Pending UST998008I4 (en)

Priority Applications (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
US05/955,823 UST998008I4 (en) 1978-10-30 1978-10-30 Computer system and method for decision tree analysis

Applications Claiming Priority (1)

Application Number Priority Date Filing Date Title
US05/955,823 UST998008I4 (en) 1978-10-30 1978-10-30 Computer system and method for decision tree analysis

Related Parent Applications (1)

Application Number Title Priority Date Filing Date
US05537305 Continuation 1974-12-30

Publications (1)

Publication Number Publication Date
UST998008I4 true UST998008I4 (en) 1980-09-02

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Family Applications (1)

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US05/955,823 Pending UST998008I4 (en) 1978-10-30 1978-10-30 Computer system and method for decision tree analysis

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Cited By (9)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
US4992939A (en) * 1988-08-05 1991-02-12 Tyler Brian G Method of producing narrative analytical report
US5262941A (en) * 1990-03-30 1993-11-16 Itt Corporation Expert credit recommendation method and system
US5406477A (en) * 1991-08-30 1995-04-11 Digital Equipment Corporation Multiple reasoning and result reconciliation for enterprise analysis
US5734890A (en) * 1994-09-12 1998-03-31 Gartner Group System and method for analyzing procurement decisions and customer satisfaction
US5953707A (en) * 1995-10-26 1999-09-14 Philips Electronics North America Corporation Decision support system for the management of an agile supply chain
US6012051A (en) * 1997-02-06 2000-01-04 America Online, Inc. Consumer profiling system with analytic decision processor
US20030182177A1 (en) * 2002-03-25 2003-09-25 Gallagher March S. Collective hierarchical decision making system
US6684188B1 (en) 1996-02-02 2004-01-27 Geoffrey C Mitchell Method for production of medical records and other technical documents
US7016887B2 (en) 2001-01-03 2006-03-21 Accelrys Software Inc. Methods and systems of classifying multiple properties simultaneously using a decision tree

Cited By (9)

* Cited by examiner, † Cited by third party
Publication number Priority date Publication date Assignee Title
US4992939A (en) * 1988-08-05 1991-02-12 Tyler Brian G Method of producing narrative analytical report
US5262941A (en) * 1990-03-30 1993-11-16 Itt Corporation Expert credit recommendation method and system
US5406477A (en) * 1991-08-30 1995-04-11 Digital Equipment Corporation Multiple reasoning and result reconciliation for enterprise analysis
US5734890A (en) * 1994-09-12 1998-03-31 Gartner Group System and method for analyzing procurement decisions and customer satisfaction
US5953707A (en) * 1995-10-26 1999-09-14 Philips Electronics North America Corporation Decision support system for the management of an agile supply chain
US6684188B1 (en) 1996-02-02 2004-01-27 Geoffrey C Mitchell Method for production of medical records and other technical documents
US6012051A (en) * 1997-02-06 2000-01-04 America Online, Inc. Consumer profiling system with analytic decision processor
US7016887B2 (en) 2001-01-03 2006-03-21 Accelrys Software Inc. Methods and systems of classifying multiple properties simultaneously using a decision tree
US20030182177A1 (en) * 2002-03-25 2003-09-25 Gallagher March S. Collective hierarchical decision making system

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